Analysis · representation

Do incumbents survive?

UTTARAKHAND, 2004–2019. 4 elections tracked.

Incumbent re-election

100.0

2019 · 3 of 3

Incumbents contesting

60.0

3 of 5 seats

First-time winners

40.0

2 new faces

Turncoats

0 won · strike rate 0.0%

Vs previous

+66.67pp

From 33.33% in 2014

[01]Incumbent re-election rate

Share of sitting MPs/MLAs who won again, 2004–2019

Share of winners entering parliament/assembly for the first time

Candidates who switched parties between elections

2019 1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2014 2 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2009 2 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2004 1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

How many sitting members sought re-election

2019 3 contesting3 won · 100.0% strike rate

2014 3 contesting1 won · 33.33% strike rate

2009 3 contesting2 won · 66.67% strike rate

2004 4 contesting3 won · 75.0% strike rate

Arithmetic over the tables above, not commentary

The 2019 incumbent re-election rate of 100.0% is above the historical average of 68.8%.
100.0% vs avg 68.8%
The strongest anti-incumbency wave was in 2014 — only 33.33% of incumbents survived (1 of 3).
Lowest: 2014 at 33.33%
Incumbents fared best in 2019 with a 100.0% re-election rate (3 of 3).
Highest: 2019 at 100.0%
2 winners in 2019 (40.0%) entered parliament/assembly for the first time.
2 first-time winners in 2019
Party-switching peaked in 2014 with 2 turncoats, of whom 0 won (0.0% strike rate).
Peak: 2 turncoats in 2014