Analysis · representation

Do incumbents survive?

CHHATTISGARH, 2004–2019. 4 elections tracked.

Incumbent re-election

0.0

2019 · 0 of 0

Incumbents contesting

0.0

0 of 11 seats

First-time winners

90.91

10 new faces

Turncoats

0 won · strike rate 0.0%

Vs previous

-71.43pp

From 71.43% in 2014

[01]Incumbent re-election rate

Share of sitting MPs/MLAs who won again, 2004–2019

Share of winners entering parliament/assembly for the first time

Candidates who switched parties between elections

2019 2 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2014 3 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2009 2 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

2004 2 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

How many sitting members sought re-election

2014 7 contesting5 won · 71.43% strike rate

2009 7 contesting4 won · 57.14% strike rate

2004 9 contesting6 won · 66.67% strike rate

Arithmetic over the tables above, not commentary

The 2019 incumbent re-election rate of 0.0% is below the historical average of 48.8%.
0.0% vs avg 48.8%
The strongest anti-incumbency wave was in 2019 — only 0.0% of incumbents survived (0 of 0).
Lowest: 2019 at 0.0%
Incumbents fared best in 2014 with a 71.43% re-election rate (5 of 7).
Highest: 2014 at 71.43%
10 winners in 2019 (90.91%) entered parliament/assembly for the first time.
10 first-time winners in 2019
Party-switching peaked in 2014 with 3 turncoats, of whom 0 won (0.0% strike rate).
Peak: 3 turncoats in 2014