Analysis · over time

How elections changed

Jammu and Kashmir, 1967–2024. 14 general elections tracked.

Turnout

59.03%

↑ 14.19 pts from previous

Median margin

19.7%

↑ 5.15 pts from previous

Effective parties

5.5

↑ 2.32 from previous

NOTA

0.68%

↑ 0.06 pts from previous

Women elected

0.0%

↓ 16.67 pts from previous

[01]Turnout

Weighted votes ÷ electors, election by election

2024 59.03%5 seats

2019 44.84%6 seats

2014 49.53%6 seats

2009 39.68%6 seats

2004 35.06%6 seats

1999 32.34%6 seats

1998 44.21%6 seats

1996 48.96%6 seats

1989 25.68%6 seats

1984 66.42%6 seats

1980 48.05%6 seats

1977 57.85%6 seats

1971 58.12%6 seats

1967 53.42%6 seats

[02]How close the contests were

Median winning margin, election by election

2024 19.7%5 seats

2019 14.55%6 seats

2014 9.9%6 seats

2009 7.0%6 seats

2004 9.8%6 seats

1999 19.0%6 seats

1998 19.55%6 seats

1996 12.3%6 seats

1989 9.6%6 seats

1984 25.45%6 seats

1980 27.4%6 seats

1977 13.05%6 seats

1971 24.6%6 seats

1967 15.2%6 seats

[03]Ballot crowding

Candidates per seat over time

2024 20.0100 candidates

2019 13.279 candidates

2014 12.877 candidates

2009 13.581 candidates

2004 13.883 candidates

1999 13.883 candidates

1998 14.386 candidates

1996 18.3110 candidates

1989 10.563 candidates

1984 8.048 candidates

1980 4.829 candidates

1977 4.829 candidates

1971 5.332 candidates

1967 2.515 candidates

[04]Party fragmentation

Effective number of parties by vote share

2024 5.53 of 21 won seats

2019 3.22 of 20 won seats

2014 4.52 of 20 won seats

2009 5.63 of 25 won seats

2004 5.04 of 20 won seats

1999 4.42 of 22 won seats

1998 3.93 of 16 won seats

1996 4.83 of 7 won seats

1989 3.83 of 9 won seats

1984 3.02 of 7 won seats

1980 4.14 of 5 won seats

1977 3.13 of 4 won seats

1971 2.42 of 5 won seats

1967 2.82 of 5 won seats

[05]NOTA

None of the above, as a share of votes cast

2024 0.68%34,788 votes

2019 0.61%21,739 votes

2014 0.89%31,550 votes

[06]Deposits lost

Share of candidates polling under a sixth of valid votes

2024 89.0%89 of 100

2019 79.75%63 of 79

2014 81.82%63 of 77

2009 82.72%67 of 81

2004 84.34%70 of 83

1999 81.93%68 of 83

1998 84.88%73 of 86

1996 90.0%99 of 110

1989 85.71%54 of 63

1984 72.92%35 of 48

1980 58.62%17 of 29

1977 58.62%17 of 29

1971 62.5%20 of 32

1967 33.33%5 of 15

[07]Women elected

Share of winners who are women

2014 16.67%6 seats

2004 16.67%6 seats

1984 16.67%6 seats

1977 33.33%6 seats

[08]Incumbent re-election rate

Share of sitting members who won again

2019 75.0%3 of 4 re-elected

2014 0.0%0 of 4 re-elected

2009 100.0%2 of 2 re-elected

2004 50.0%2 of 4 re-elected

1999 66.67%2 of 3 re-elected

1998 33.33%1 of 3 re-elected

1989 66.67%2 of 3 re-elected

1984 100.0%2 of 2 re-elected

1980 33.33%1 of 3 re-elected

1977 100.0%2 of 2 re-elected

1971 100.0%5 of 5 re-elected

[09]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the series above, not commentary

Ballots have grown much more crowded: 2.5 candidates a seat in 1967 against 20.0 in 2024.
2.5 → 20.0 over 14 elections
Women's share of elected members peaked at 33.33% in 1977; in 2014 it was 16.67%.
peak 33.33% in 1977
In 2019, 75.0% of sitting members who re-stood were re-elected — above the series average of 65.91%.
75.0 vs avg 65.91 across 11 elections
NOTA peaked at 0.89% in 2014 — 31,550 voters chose none of the above.
highest NOTA share across 3 elections
The highest deposit-loss rate was 90.0% in 1996: 99 of 110 candidates polled under a sixth of the valid vote.
peak deposit losses in 1996