Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Kerala, 2024. 194 candidates from 21 parties contested 20 seats; 6 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
21
2024 · 6 of them won a seat
Largest party
14seats
Indian National Congress · 35.33% of votes
Deposits lost
74.23%
144 of 194 candidates
Effective parties
4.3
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
9.7
194 for 20 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Indian National Congr… 35.33%14 seats · +34.67 pts
Indian Union Muslim L… 6.09%2 seats · +3.91 pts
Communist Party of In… 26.04%1 seat · -21.04 pts
Bharatiya Janta Party 16.81%1 seat · -11.81 pts
Revolutionary Sociali… 2.24%1 seat · +2.76 pts
Kerala Congress 1.84%1 seat · +3.16 pts
Communist Party of In… 6.19%0 seats · -6.19 pts
Bharath Dharma Jana S… 2.55%0 seats · -2.55 pts
Kerala Congress (m) 1.4%0 seats · -1.4 pts
Twenty 20 Party 0.73%0 seats · -0.73 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Indian National Congr… 87.5%14/16
Communist Party of In… 6.67%1/15
Bharatiya Janta Party 6.25%1/16
Independent 0.0%0/92
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.0%0/18
Socialist Unity Centr… 0.0%0/8

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 74.23%144 of 194
2019 79.3%180 of 227
2014 84.39%227 of 269
2009 81.57%177 of 217
2004 75.71%134 of 177
1999 71.13%101 of 142
1998 66.67%80 of 120
1996 82.76%192 of 232
1991 77.65%139 of 179
1989 81.65%178 of 218

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 9.7194 candidates
2019 11.4227 candidates
2014 13.5269 candidates
2009 10.9217 candidates
2004 8.9177 candidates
1999 7.1142 candidates
1998 6.0120 candidates
1996 11.6232 candidates
1991 9.0179 candidates
1989 10.9218 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 920 won
2019 1150 won
2014 1222 won
2009 1230 won
2004 951 won
1999 730 won
1998 430 won
1996 1541 won
1991 1000 won
1989 1320 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Indian National Congress took 70.0% of the seats on 35.33% of the votes — a seat bonus of +34.67 pts.

    seat share 70.0 - vote share 35.33
  2. Communist Party of India (marxist) went the other way: 26.04% of votes returned only 5.0% of seats.

    seat share 5.0 - vote share 26.04
  3. 74.23% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 144 of 194 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    144/194 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 92 independents stood and 0 won — a strike rate of 0.0%.

    0/92 independents
  5. The field has grown more fragmented since 1957: the effective number of parties moved from 3.4 to 4.3.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1957 vs 2024
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