Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Punjab, 2024. 328 candidates from 49 parties contested 13 seats; 4 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
49
2024 · 4 of them won a seat
Largest party
7seats
Indian National Congress · 26.44% of votes
Deposits lost
88.11%
289 of 328 candidates
Effective parties
5.0
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
25.2
328 for 13 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Indian National Congr… 26.44%7 seats · +27.41 pts
Aam Aadmi Party 26.16%3 seats · -3.08 pts
Independent 7.86%2 seats · +7.53 pts
Shiromani Akali Dal 13.48%1 seat · -5.78 pts
Bharatiya Janta Party 18.65%0 seats · -18.65 pts
Shiromani Akali Dal (… 3.84%0 seats · -3.84 pts
Bahujan Samaj Party 2.5%0 seats · -2.5 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Indian National Congr… 53.85%7/13
Aam Aadmi Party 23.08%3/13
Shiromani Akali Dal 7.69%1/13
Independent 1.19%2/168
Bharatiya Janta Party 0.0%0/13
Shiromani Akali Dal (… 0.0%0/12
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.0%0/13
Nationalist Justice P… 0.0%0/7
Bharatheeya Jawan Kis… 0.0%0/5
Jan Sewa Driver Party 0.0%0/5

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 88.11%289 of 328
2019 89.21%248 of 278
2014 86.56%219 of 253
2009 88.07%192 of 218
2004 78.87%112 of 142
1999 76.67%92 of 120
1998 73.53%75 of 102
1996 88.03%228 of 259
1992 65.43%53 of 81
1991 66.67%54 of 81

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 25.2328 candidates
2019 21.4278 candidates
2014 19.5253 candidates
2009 16.8218 candidates
2004 10.9142 candidates
1999 9.2120 candidates
1998 7.9102 candidates
1996 19.9259 candidates
1992 6.281 candidates
1991 6.281 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 1682 won
2019 1230 won
2014 1180 won
2009 1130 won
2004 700 won
1999 570 won
1998 491 won
1996 1810 won
1992 320 won
1991 320 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Indian National Congress took 53.85% of the seats on 26.44% of the votes — a seat bonus of +27.41 pts.

    seat share 53.85 - vote share 26.44
  2. Bharatiya Janta Party went the other way: 18.65% of votes returned only 0.0% of seats.

    seat share 0.0 - vote share 18.65
  3. 88.11% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 289 of 328 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    289/328 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 168 independents stood and 2 won — a strike rate of 1.19%.

    2/168 independents
  5. The field has grown more fragmented since 1952: the effective number of parties moved from 4.1 to 5.0.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1952 vs 2024
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